
How We Make Decisions at Turner Capital
This is a short- to intermediate-term trend indicator. It reacts quickly to price changes and closely follows current market momentum. When prices are trending, the 20-week MA often acts as dynamic support/resistance and is frequently used to identify short-term pullbacks or breakouts.
The 50-week moving average is the primary point of demarcation from a market that is primarily bullish versus primarily bearish. While we can detect bear trends when the market is above the 50-WMA and bull trends when the market is below the 50-WMA, this moving average tends to set the investment bias as to being bullish or bearish.
The 86-week moving average is a primary support/resistance level that often provides an early detection of when to exit in a more profitable condition of an open trade, but is a very strong indicator of strength of momentum when the market traverses this trendline.
Rarely does the market fall through the 200 week moving average, but when it does a lot of money can be made. This is a long-term trend baseline, often viewed as a "line in the sand" for secular bull or bear markets. Breaches of the 200 week moving average are typically seen as significant and can often signal major market regime shifts.
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